PERAMALAN BEBAN YANG AKAN DISUPLAI GARDU INDUK DURI KOSAMBI 150kV TAHUN 2029 MENGGUNAKAN METODE REGRESI LINEAR
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Institusion
Institut Teknologi Perusahaan Listrik Negara
Author
SATRIANI, GENIE
Ispranyoto, Edy
Ispranyoto, Edy
Subject
Teknik Elektro
Datestamp
2019-12-05 12:52:32
Abstract :
The increasing need for electrical energy always increases with time due to several factors, This requires the electricity provider to make a planned load forecasting. Neither the demand for electricity in West Jakarta Province has increased so that PT. PLN (Persero) UIT JBB UPT Durikosambi must be able to supply loads in accordance with consumer electricity needs.The purpose of this study is to determine the load forecasting that needs to be supplied by the 150KV Durikosambi GI until 2029 and to find out the solution to the results of load forecastin. This study uses the Simple Linear Regression Method by estimating the load requirements from electrification historical data and other factors that affect the increase in load such as the Population. This study uses the kuantitatif method. Forecasting electrical energy loads using the Linear Regression method will produce the electrical energy load needs of West Jakarta in 2029.Forecasting results generated load in transformer 1 of 99.48% of capacity MAPE 0,312481095%: transformer 2 of 24.28 MW, 47.60% of capacity MAPE 0,277464839%: transformer 3 of 17.99 MW, 35.28% MAPE 0,166301665%: transformer 4 of 49.22 MW, 96.31% of the capacity of transformer MAPE 0,09421436%: 5 was 41.30 MW, 80.97% MAPE 0,384078361%.
The increasing need for electrical energy always increases with time due to several factors, This requires the electricity provider to make a planned load forecasting. Neither the demand for electricity in West Jakarta Province has increased so that PT. PLN (Persero) UIT JBB UPT Durikosambi must be able to supply loads in accordance with consumer electricity needs.The purpose of this study is to determine the load forecasting that needs to be supplied by the 150KV Durikosambi GI until 2029 and to find out the solution to the results of load forecastin. This study uses the Simple Linear Regression Method by estimating the load requirements from electrification historical data and other factors that affect the increase in load such as the Population. This study uses the kuantitatif method. Forecasting electrical energy loads using the Linear Regression method will produce the electrical energy load needs of West Jakarta in 2029.Forecasting results generated load in transformer 1 of 99.48% of capacity MAPE 0,312481095%: transformer 2 of 24.28 MW, 47.60% of capacity MAPE 0,277464839%: transformer 3 of 17.99 MW, 35.28% MAPE 0,166301665%: transformer 4 of 49.22 MW, 96.31% of the capacity of transformer MAPE 0,09421436%: 5 was 41.30 MW, 80.97% MAPE 0,384078361%.
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