Aplikasi Peramalan Harga Tiket Pesawat Menggunakan Metode Triple Exponential Smoothing
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Institusion
Institut Teknologi Perusahaan Listrik Negara
Author
Astari, Ahmad Fauzi
Ningrum, Rahma Farah
Sangaji, Iriansyah BM
Ningrum, Rahma Farah
Sangaji, Iriansyah BM
Subject
Teknik Informatika
Datestamp
2022-09-27 02:03:56
Abstract :
Air transportation is one of the people's favorite types of transportation. This is because this transportation has various advantages. among them because it can cover long distances in a very short time. However, besides these various advantages, it is also directly proportional to the price given. Airplane ticket prices are quite high and also fluctuating, making users have to pay more to use this transportation. Therefore, the authors conducted this research to be able to predict ticket prices in the future period. In the process of this research, the triple exponential smoothing method is used to predict airplane ticket prices by processing historical data on previous airline ticket prices. We tested 29 historical price sample data and calculated using the triple exponential smoothing formula to predict prices for the next period. The prediction result for the next period is Rp. 726333 with an accuracy of MAPE = 2.6662%, MAD = 19412.92 and MSD = 519817105.4 .
Air transportation is one of the people's favorite types of transportation. This is because this transportation has various advantages. among them because it can cover long distances in a very short time. However, besides these various advantages, it is also directly proportional to the price given. Airplane ticket prices are quite high and also fluctuating, making users have to pay more to use this transportation. Therefore, the authors conducted this research to be able to predict ticket prices in the future period. In the process of this research, the triple exponential smoothing method is used to predict airplane ticket prices by processing historical data on previous airline ticket prices. We tested 29 historical price sample data and calculated using the triple exponential smoothing formula to predict prices for the next period. The prediction result for the next period is Rp. 726333 with an accuracy of MAPE = 2.6662%, MAD = 19412.92 and MSD = 519817105.4 .
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