Institusion
Institut Teknologi Perusahaan Listrik Negara
Author
Sembiring, Ardianta Samuel
Fitriani, Yessy
Dahroni, Andi
Subject
Teknik Informatika
Datestamp
2022-09-23 01:58:31
Abstract :
In the midst of the current conditions where the Corona Virus 2019 (COVID-19) is spreading, many people in the world in cities and regions are also victims of the impact of this Corona Virus, the Corona Virus around the world has an impact on various sectors quickly. Based on this, a system was created to predict patients recovering and dying in Covid-19 patients in the city of Medan. This system is built using a single moving average method. Single Moving Average method or single moving average method is a forecasting method that is done by taking a group of observed values, looking for the average value as a forecast for the future period. From the results of calculations using the Single Moving Average Method for patients who recovered and died, the results were: patients recovered with MSE (Mean Square Error) was 3086,675, RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) was 55,585, MAD (Mean Absolute Deviation) was 35,579 and the patient died with MSE(Mean Square Error) was 7,732, RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) was 2,715, MAD(Mean Absolute Deviation) was 1,382.