Abstract :
The objectives of this research are to know and to explain the effects of fundamental
variables and macro economics variables on
financial distress
probabili
ty
.
The
variables used
are
Working Capital To Total Asset (WCTA), Sales To Total Assets
(STA), Debt To Total Asset Ratio
(
DTA
)
, Net Income To Sales (NISA),
Interest Rate
Sensitivity, Exchange Rate Sensitivity and Oil P
rice Sensitivity. The
sample
are
38
go
public
mining
companies listed in Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) and did not have
delisting
during research period. The sampling technique used i
s purposive sampling
technique.
The analysis model used is logistic regression. The research shows that
Sales To T
otal Asset (STA)
and
Net Income To Sales (NISA)
have a negative effect
and significant
to predict financial distress condition and than
Debt to Total Asset
has
a positive effect and significant to predict financial distress condition. The
implication
an i
nvestor must to choice the companies have a good sales to total asset,
net income to sales, and debt to total asset.
Keywords
: Financial Distress, Financial Ratios, Sensitivity Analysis, Logistic
Analysis Regression