Abstract :
This study aims to test the accuracy of Fama and French Five Factor Models in predicting
the return on perbankan sector for the period of 2008 – 2017. The Fama and French Five Factor
Model is the response to the weakness of the previous model is Fama and French Three Factor
Models. The variables in this model used in the research are market risk premium, Market risk
premium, Book to market equity , operating profitability and investment. The analytical tool used
in the measurement is the multiple linear regression method (STATA).
The population in this study is sub-banking sector company listed on the Indonesia Stock
Exchange whose shares are active during 2008-2017. The sample used in this study is saturated
sampling are 22 company. . This study uses time series data and annual financial reports from
march 2008 – december 2017. The results of the study show that only Small minus Big variables
have a negative effect. While Market Ris Premium, B/M ratio , operating profitability and
investment shows a negative effect on stock return.
Keywords: Fama and French Five Factor Model, Stock returns, Market risk premium, Market
capitalization, B / M ratio, Operating Profitability, investment, banking sector.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji tingkat keakuratan model Fama and French Five
Factor Models dalam memprediksi imbal hasil saham sektor Perbankan periode 2008-2017. Fama
and French Five Factor Models merupakan respon terhadap kelemahan teori sebelumnya yaitu
Fama and French Three Factor Models. Variabel Fama and French yang digunakan dalam
penelitian ini adalah market risk premium, size, profitabilitas, value, dan investment. Alat analisis
yang digunakan dalam pengukurannya adalah metode regresi liner berganda (STATA).
Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah perusahaan sub-sektor perbankan yang terdaftar di
Bursa Efek Indonesia yang sahamnya aktif selama tahun 2008-2017. Sampel yang digunakan pada
penelitian ini yaitu purpose sampling sebanyak 22 perusahaan. Penelitian ini menggunakan data
time series, yaitu data bulanan dan laporan keuangan triwulan dari Maret 2008- Desember 2017.
Hasil penelitian menunjukkan Bahwa hanya variabel Small Minus Big yang berpengaruh negatif.
sedangkan Market Risk Premium, Book To Market Equity, Operating Profitability dan Investment
menunjukkan pengaruh yang negatif terhadap imbal hasil saham.
Kata kunci: Fama and French Five Factor Model, imbal hasil saham, Market Risk Premium,
Small Minus Big, B/M ratio , Operating Profitability , investment, sektor Perbankan