Analisis Peramalan Perencanaan Produksi Roti Menggunakan Metode Time Series Triple Exponential Smoothing
(Studi Kasus: Perusahaan Roti Fatimah Patrang, Jember)
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Institusion
Politeknik Negeri Jember
Author
Putri, Vini Yolanda
Subject
458 - Teknik Informatika
Datestamp
2022-01-03 07:27:00
Abstract :
Bread production planning forecasting system is a software system to determine the amount of bread to be produced at Fatimah Bakery by using web-based and Triple Expoenential smoothing method. Forecasting results show a difference that is not much different from reality. ie a minimum difference between 3-5. The calculation of the error value used is the mean absolute deviation and the mean absolute perctangle error. Forecasting results tested on users produce a percentage of 91.43% using user acceptance testing. Keyword: forecasting, triple exponential smoothing, bread, fatimah
Bread production planning forecasting system is a software system to determine the amount of bread to be produced at Fatimah Bakery by using web-based and Triple Expoenential smoothing method. Forecasting results show a difference that is not much different from reality. ie a minimum difference between 3-5. The calculation of the error value used is the mean absolute deviation and the mean absolute perctangle error. Forecasting results tested on users produce a percentage of 91.43% using user acceptance testing. Keyword: forecasting, triple exponential smoothing, bread, fatimah
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